India’s Q1 GDP Surges 7.8%, Triggering Sharp Divide Over Economy’s Strength

India’s Q1 GDP Surges 7.8%, Triggering Sharp Divide Over Economy’s Strength

India’s real GDP grew 7.8% in Q1 2026-27, driven by manufacturing, services and capital formation, as PM Modi welcomed the figures while critics questioned revisions and the gap between headline growth and everyday economic struggles.

 

Official data showed India’s real GDP growth at 7.8 percent in the first quarter of 2026-27, rising from 6.9 percent a year earlier, with manufacturing, services and capital formation recording strong gains.

Manufacturing growth stood at 9.2 percent, while services grew at nearly 10 percent. Capital formation also increased by 11.9 percent, adding to the headline strength of the latest economic figures.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomed the numbers and called for conserving foreign exchange by avoiding foreign travel and gold purchases in favour of local options.

The figures, however, drew criticism from former Finance Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg, who argued that revisions had inflated the numbers. Garg estimated that real growth was near zero when assessed using older data.

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Economist Sridhar Vembu also called for greater discipline over imports, pointing to the approach followed by East Asian economies during their rise.

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The contrasting assessments have highlighted a growing divide over how India’s economic performance should be interpreted, with strong aggregate growth figures facing questions about the economic pressures experienced in everyday life, including urban flooding and poverty.

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